India Readies Saudi Oil Import Cut as Standoff Escalates Over OPEC’s Decision to Ignore Calls from Delhi: Report

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NEW DELHI: Indian state refiners are planning to cut oil imports from Saudi Arabia by about a quarter in May, in an escalating stand-off with Riyadh following OPEC’s decision to ignore calls from New Delhi to help the global economy with higher supply.

Two sources familiar with the discussions said the move was part of the government’s drive to cut dependence on crude from the Middle East.

Indian Oil Corp, Bharat Petroleum Corp., Hindustan Petroleum Corp and Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd are preparing to lift about 10.8 million barrels in May, the sources said on condition of anonymity.

State refiners, which control about 60% of India’s 5 million barrels per day (bpd) refining capacity, together import an average 14.7-14.8 million barrels of Saudi oil in a month, the sources said.

India, the world’s third-biggest oil importer and consumer, imports more than 80% of its oil needs and relies heavily on the Middle East.

Hit hard by rising oil prices, India’s oil minister Dharmendra Pradhan has repeatedly called on the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, known as OPEC+, to ease supply curbs.

He has blamed Saudi’s voluntary cuts for contributing to a spike in global oil prices.

OPEC+ decided this month to extend most cuts into April. Responding to Pradhan’s request, the Saudi energy minister suggested India dip into strategic reserves filled with cheaper oil bought last year.

India’s oil ministry responded by asking refiners to speed up their diversification of crude sources and reduce reliance on the Middle East.

Indian refiners could not cut April oil imports from Saudi Arabia as nominations were placed before the OPEC+ decision in early March, the sources said, adding that plans for May were preliminary and final May nominations would be known in early April.

Saudi Arabia has cut April oil supplies for some Asian refiners but has maintained average monthly volumes for Indian refiners. The Kingdom has, however, rejected demand from Indian companies for extra supplies.

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Fuel demand has returned to pre-COVID levels: IOC’s Vaidya

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‘March first-half diesel sales rise 7.4%; reflating economy to spur consumption’

India’s fuel demand, except for aviation turbine fuel, has returned to pre-COVID levels and a reflating economy will help consumption grow in the near future, the head of the nation’s top oil firm said on Tuesday.

Fuel sales had fallen a record 45.8% in April when a nationwide lockdown was imposed to check the spread of coronavirus infections. Demand started to recover with the easing of lockdown restrictions, with petrol returning to normal growth first and now diesel too reaching pre-COVID levels.

“Except for ATF, we have touched normal demand,” Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) Chairman Shrikant Madhav Vaidya said. “We are back on track.” While petrol sales had reached pre-COVID levels a few months ago, diesel sales had risen 7.4% year-on-year in the first half of March. LPG sales had shown growth even during the lockdown. With airlines not operating all flights, ATF sales remain below normal. “ATF may take a quarter’s time to return to normal, maybe 3-4 months,” he said.

IOC, he said, was bullish about fuel demand recovery as the economy grows. “Let’s hope for the best with the vaccine roll-out,” he added. Diesel sales in the first half of March rose to 2.84 million tonnes while petrol demand climbed 5.3% to 1.05 million tonnes. This is the first annual rise in petrol sales since October.

ATF sales, which fell more than 80% in the aftermath of the lockdown, was down 36.5% in the first half of March. India’s economy returned to growth in the last quarter as real GDP is estimated to have expanded 0.4% year-on-year after two quarters of contraction.

OPEC’s monthly report last week forecast a 13.6% jump in India’s oil demand in 2021 to 4.99 million barrels per day.

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